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Old Yellow and the Melbourne Cup.

We all know about the futility of viewing with rosie specs horses who
have done us a favour....old favourites...... so I am trying to be
objective about Yellowstone's chances in the big Aussie race.

Seems little doubt after its last two in long distance listed hcps that,
as many thought, it is a case of the further the better with him.
Ran well (from a crap draw) at Newbury with top weight last time when
staying on 3rd, but done for late speed  at the weights over that 1m 5f.

He might run in the Irish Leger first, but it seems the plan to go to Oz
still holds.

He is in the Mel Cup with 54k ( according to my poor reckoning about 8st
8lbs ? in old money )   which is probably less than he has ever carried
in his life.   This should put him quite well in over a distance which
should suit, in a race likely to be run at a pace, and so become a true
staying test.

Can he stay close enough? Will that lack of late acceleration beat him?
Maybe, but at the present BF offers at around 60 ( in a very, very
skimpy early market) it is a price which attracts if available later
after the 120 entered have been reduced.

I am not too keen on anti-post stuff since getting a very nasty surprise
on a blind date when I was about 18, but I will be keeping a close eye
on this list over the coming weeks. Decent EW chances?

Les

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