Re: Winter forecast

Yokel wrote:
> Not mine, but Netweather's available on
>
> http://www.netweather.tv/
>
> and follow the obvious link under the winter picture on the top left hand
> corner of the home page.
>
> It is beautifully written by their expert Stewart Ranmping and includes a
> detailed analysis of the various events (El Nino, etc) which could affect
> our winter weather and even an assessment on the likely effect of a
> "stratospheric warming" event near the start of the Winter period,
possibly
> leading to a cold anticyclonic January.
>
> Unfortunately, the various processes seem to be working against each other,
> so the final verdict is close to "no clear signal", or in layman's terms
> "can't tell".  But it is still a very instructive read for those with a
> smidgeon or more of technical understanding of how the weather machine
> works.
>
> Also worth comparing with the "Long Range" forecast for the next 4 months
> also on this site.  This is produced by purely numerical model prediction
> and has a somewhat different outcome, although again (by their own
> admission) is close to "don't know".

He seems to go along with Joe's (Bastardi) winter forecast. Interesting
how it doesn't really look like turning particularly cold at the weekend
and Decembers beginning to look like a continuation of November. I still
think this is a good sign for cooler months in winter, we shall see?

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net
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